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The Potential Impact Of Us Troop Withdrawal For The Future Of Somalia

The decision of the outgoing Trump administration to pull out US troops from Somalia by 15 January has come at a particularly critical period for the East African region. This could have broader security and humanitarian implications, threatening…
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Why Ethiopia and Sudan have fallen out over al-Fashaga

Source: BBC | Alex de Waal, African Analyst   The armed clashes along the border between Sudan and Ethiopia are the latest twist in a decades-old history of rivalry between the two countries, though it is rare for the two armies to fight…
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The Unfolding Conflict in Ethiopia

Testimony before the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Africa, Global Health, Global Human Rights and International OrganizationsCongressional Testimony | BY: Susan Stigant | Thursday, December 3, 2020 Susan Stigant, director of Africa…
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Geopolitical dynamics in the Horn of Africa

An Emboldened Horn of Africa Axis and an Unfolding Humanitarian Crisis Await the Biden Administration By Guled Ahmed | Middle East Institute Summary The Biden Administration is set to face a series of challenges in the Horn of Africa. Given…
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Statement on Ethiopia by the Senior Study Group on Peace and Security in the Red Sea Arena

Source: USIP As members of the bipartisan senior study group on peace and security in the Red Sea arena, we are watching with grave concern the situation in Ethiopia. While many of the facts remain unclear, the risks of escalation are certain:…
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“America First” and Implications for US Strategy in the Horn of Africa

Source: Small Wars | Richard McManamon Abstract Since taking office, President Trump has challenged the global order with his “America First” approach. He has questioned the role of the US and its Allies within NATO, exited the Paris Climate…
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What Ethiopia’s Brewing Conflict Means for the Country—and the Region

Source: Small Wars | Aly Verjee and Susan Stigant | USIP Publication A protracted conflict between the federal government and the Tigray region is still not inevitable, but it will require both sides to choose another path. Violent conflict…
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Is the War in Ethiopia’s Tigray Region Ending or Only Just Beginning?

The Jamestown Foundation | Michael Horton On November 28, Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali declared victory in his government’s three- week-long war against the Tigrayan People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) (al-Jazeera, November 28).…
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What Ethiopia’s Ethnic Unrest Means for China

The Diplomat |  China’s massive investments in Ethiopia give it a lot to lose amid renewed sectarian violence. Media reports have hardly mentioned what the latest episode of sectarian violence in Ethiopia could cost China. Few of the East…
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Ethiopia’s Problems Will Not End with a Military Victory

Substantial efforts are needed to reduce political tensions ahead of elections in 2021. USIP Publication: Aly Verjee | Tuesday, November 24, 2020 As violence continues over control of the northern Ethiopian region of Tigray, Ethiopia’s future…